Simon Fraser University

Preliminary Autoregressive Models

After computing the sample autocovariance matrices, PROC STATESPACE fits a sequence of vector autoregressive models. These preliminary autoregressive models are used to estimate the autoregressive ...
JSTOR Daily

A Fast Algorithm for the Exact Likelihood of Stationary and Partially Nonstationary Vector Autoregressive-Moving Average Processes

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract An expression for the likelihood function of a stationary vector autoregressive-moving average process is developed. The expression is very ...
Simon Fraser University

Autoregressive Moving Average Error Processes

A model with first-order autoregressive errors, AR(1), has the form while an AR(2) error process has the form and so forth for higher-order processes. Note that the ...
International Monetary Fund

Probabilistic Sustainability of Public Debt: A Vector Autoregression Approach for Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those ...
International Monetary Fund

Global Financial Transmission into Sub-Saharan Africa – A Global Vector Autoregression Analysis

Sub-Saharan African countries are exposed to spillovers from global financial variables, but the impact on economic activity is more significant in more financially developed economies. Generalized ...
Insurancenewsnet.com

Kwansei Gakuin University Researcher Provides New Study Findings on Risk Management (A Hybrid Model for Forecasting Realized Volatility Based on Heterogeneous Autoregressive ...

2024 FEB 06 (NewsRx) -- By a News Reporter-Staff News Editor at Insurance Daily News-- Investigators publish new report on risk management. According to news originating from Hyogo, Japan, by NewsRx ...
Risk

Stress-Testing Banks’ Credit Risk Using Mixture Vector Autoregressive Models

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RIETI独立行政法人経済産業研究所

Asymmetric Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Japanese Exports: Application of the threshold vector autoregressive model

This paper employs a threshold vector autoregressive (TVAR) model to analyze a possible asymmetric behavior of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) or pricing-to-market (PTM) in Japanese exports between ...